I asked Grok to create a brief reply to a friend with TDS. He asked 3 questions. Grok labeled his comments as biased, emotional criticism. Nevertheless, we ran out of things to talk about this week, so we thought we would discuss his questions.
For someone so invested in military matters, you’re being strangely quiet in your public posts about the embarrassments we’re suffering regarding munitions shortages, Trump’s new love affair with WWII era aircraft carrier tech, our shift away from South Korea. As always, no need to rx here. I’ll look for your public comments
Brief summary of the answers to the TDS friend:
1. Munitions shortages Mac and Mike treat any shortage as acceptable (or even positive) if it means stopping Iran from getting nuclear weapons. Iran has repeatedly said it wants to destroy the U.S. and Israel. A dirty bomb smuggled across the border is the real risk, not ICBMs. America can simply make more munitions. Past presidents drew down stocks; current levels can be cross-leveled from other theaters and replenished. Old stockpiles often have limited remaining shelf life and may not match modern needs anyway.
2. โWWII-eraโ carrier tech (steam catapults, battleships, etc.) What matters is reliability, repairability, and getting the job doneโnot whether the technology is old or new. Steam catapults have a proven track record and are easier to fix under combat conditions. Electromagnetic systems are easier on the aircraft but create different maintenance and supply-chain issues. Trade-offs exist in every system. The same logic applies to drones vs. expensive missiles: use whatever works best and is most efficient.
3. Shift away from South Korea U.S. forces there mainly serve as a tripwire. Americaโs first duty is its own citizens and homeland. Allies must uphold their end of agreements (as Trump pushed NATO on spending). South Korea (and Europe) benefit from Iran not getting nukes, yet many refused to help and even restricted U.S. access. National interest comes firstโif America is not strong, it cannot help anyone else.
Mike: One of my old military friendsโsomebody you know Iโve talked aboutโis always sending me personal texts about things. Heโs got severe TDS. I know people donโt like that term, but itโs really true in his case. The questions heโs asking are ones other people want to know, so Iโll read this real quick. Heโs addressing me:
โFor someone so invested in military matters, youโre being strangely quiet in your public posts about the embarrassments weโre suffering regarding munitions shortages, Trumpโs new love affair with World War II-era aircraft carrier tech, and our shift away from South Korea.โ
So, is there anything youโd want to discuss about our so-called shortages when it comes to munitions?
Mac: Well, actually, I look at that as being a good thing, Mike. First, there are people out there who say weโre involved in this war with Iran for the wrong reasons. There are many conspiracy theories claiming the only reason America is in this war with Iran is because weโre friends with Israel and weโre attempting to do Israelโs dirty work.
I find that a very difficult concept to wrap my head around. I believe Donald Trump is his own man. Throughout history, from the time he emerged on the U.S. and world stage, heโs been pretty clear that heโs his own man. So to suggest weโre fighting this war for reasons other than the ones he statesโthat weโre trying to prohibit the theocracy of Iran from getting a nuclear weaponโis hard to accept. They have stated publicly and very frequently that they intend to use any weapons they have to destroy the โSatanโ and the โGreat Satan,โ meaning Israel and the United States.
I look at this war and say Donald Trump is trying to protect the United States of America from a nuclear threat from a theocracy that believes it is their religious duty to attack us. If you choose to believe that Trump is fighting this war to keep Iran from being able to attack us with nuclear weaponsโwhich I think everyone would agree is a bad thingโthen my answer to the scarcity of munitions is: I really donโt give a damn. Use every munition you need in order to stop Iran from achieving their goal of having a nuclear weapon, which they have stated again publicly and frequently they intend to use against the United States.
And by the way, people say, โWell, they canโt send an ICBM to the United States. We can protect ourselves against it.โ Thatโs not the way they would do it. Theyโd put a dirty bomb in a suitcase or a small trunk, ship it to Mexico or Canada, sneak it across the border in a surreptitious way so we wouldnโt know it was there, and take it to one of our most vulnerable targets that would do us the greatest harm. Then theyโd explode a dirty nuclear weapon at a location that would cause the greatest damage for the longest period of time. Itโs not just the explosion and the devastation from the bomb. Itโs the half-life of the radiation that would keep us from using that geography for decades.
So noโwhen we talk about the โembarrassmentโ of running short on munitions, guess what? We can make more. Thereโs no limitation on how many we can make, Mike. You say weโre going to stop Iran from attacking us with a nuclear weapon? I donโt care what it takes.
Mac: You have an opinion on that?
Mike: Well, I have a bunch of thoughts. First, we have to ask if thereโs a shortage. Why? And what are we talking about? Itโs an internal memo leak that the president and others are denying, but letโs say itโs real because it sounds plausible. No president is going to say, โYes, weโre short on munitions.โ
Why would we be short if we are? Did the last series of presidents give a lot of our munitions away? Yeah. Now weโre selling them, but either way, itโs a drawdown. The other thing is Trump, when he was president, was always asking for more, and it hasnโt been reciprocated by other presidents to build up the militaryโCongress, to be fair.
But then you have to say, okay, why would they say this? Because we know we have tons more munitions. Iโm not 100% sure, but in supply you have your logistics set up for world conflicts. We have a certain amount of munitions designated for maybe China invading Taiwan, a certain amount designated for the homeland, and we say we donโt want to fall below these levels. Then we have the munitions for that theater. So could we theoretically cross-level? Sure. We can pull some of the munitions protecting America to use over there and then replace those stocks. Itโs not the crisis everybody thinks.
Of course China is looking at this and saying, โWhen would be a good time to take Taiwan? Well, if weโre having a little bit of a munitions problemโฆโ
What is the name of the act that Trump could institute about having manufacturing?
Mac: Defense Production Act or something?
Mike: Yes. I know exactly what youโre talking about. The United States government takes over industry and forces them to make what we need. And weโre not doing that. So if we were truly shortโฆ They talked about him threatening it because of Raytheon and I guess Northrop Grumman. We did that during COVIDโwe took over businesses and made them make ventilators and all sorts of stuff.
Mac: But see, Mike, hereโs the other aspect of this. You know what has happened since World War I? Weapons have changed.
Mike: Oh yeah, right.
Mac: So when they say weโre running out of munitions, weโve also learned that the munitions we have stockpiled are not necessarily the ones we need. Letโs get rid of them. The technology has changed and there are new munitions and new ways of prosecuting a war. Using old munitions is not necessarily a bad thing.
Mike: No, itโs either use them or lose them. Right. Because theyโre going to go to waste. They all have a shelf life.
Okay, so what was his next question? Trumpโs new love affair with World War II-era style aircraft. What heโs talking about is the catapults that launch the jets being moved from electromagnetics back to steam.
Mac: Well, thereโs more than that. Donald Trump announced the new initiative for battleships, for example. Battleships were thought to be obsolete since World War II. The battleship was the way we projected our power to various places throughout the world. And of course, once World War II was fought, we realized that having aircraft all over the place was a better way to enforce our will.
But again, I would argue that the prosecution of war has changed. So when you talk about going back to World War II style, whatโs more importantโefficiency and the ability to prosecute the war, or what kind of technology we use?
Before we had gasoline-powered cars, we had steam-powered cars. Guess what the gasoline-powered cars did? They eliminated the steam. Right now we have electric-powered cars, but electric isnโt right for every application, so we still have gasoline-powered cars. Does it really matter what technology the military is using as long as itโs not something stupid like solar-powered tanks? You know, really thatโs what Biden wanted to doโsolar-powered military vehicles.
Mike: Yep. Yep. And look, we had a conversation earlier about war games with Ukraine. The war that Ukraine is fighting with Russia has made Ukraine very adept, and theyโve made a lot of technology improvements in drone warfare. That kind of warfare is, at least right now, looking more like current and future ways of winning than our old ways of tanks and aircraft.
Mac: Oh yeah.
Mike: I think at one point I heard that Ukraine was manufacturing 9,000 drones a month. Thatโs a lot of power projection, especially in something that costs a couple of thousand dollars.
Hereโs a question I would throw out when weโre talking about World War II. We have Patriot missiles. We also have aircraft that shoot warheads from the sky. Aircraft have missiles and various systemsโI wonโt get into all the numerology and technologyโbut the point is those missiles we currently use, both ground and air, are very, very expensive. They could be replaced by these much smaller, much less expensive drones that can do basically the same kind of thing. Itโs not 100%, but if you shoot down a drone with a $1.2 million missile, are you really winning the battle?
Obviously you want to win regardless of the cost. Iโm not trying to put it purely in dollars. But when we look at World War II technology, does it really matter? What is the technology that is the most secure, the most efficient, the most reliable, and the one that gets the job done? I donโt care if it comes from the Civil War.
While I understand the reason they wanted to go back to the steam catapults on the aircraft carrier is because of reliability and repairabilityโweโre talking supply chain issues again, and time to repair something. I was one of those guys in the military who had to repair some stuff. We got away from a lot of the intricate repairs and just swapped out parts because it was so much easier. Everything became more modularized so you could easily replace things.
But the other side of the argument is the electromagnetic launchers are easier on the aircraft. The steam ones cause a lot of vibration and thrust, and that vibration can cause aircraft failures or maintenance issuesโthings come loose. People donโt realize how many loose things there are in any aircraft. Anyway, itโs a crapshoot, and I understand why Trump said it. Iโm not sureโpeople were arguing theyโre only doing this on the newer ones theyโre manufacturing. But I guess on one ship they got so far, and Trump said no, tear that out. Itโs going to cost some money. Who am I to say? I donโt know. And I donโt think the person whoโs asking this question has the backgroundโthe guy was a freaking pilot.
Mac: You used the term reliability, Mike, and that was what I was talking about earlier in my comments. What difference does it make the technology in war? What you really want is certainty that things are going to work. Does it really matter what it cost or what technology? What you really want is assurance that itโs going to work. And the steam launchers have historically just been rock solid. Everything has issuesโabsolutely they breakโbut they can be repaired.
Mike: Trade-offs. You and I talking about trade-offs before. Yeah. Always a trade-off.
Mac: Yep. Everythingโs a trade-off. That was Thomas Sowell.
Mike: Yeah, heโs pointed that out on economics and itโs true here.
And what about the shift away from South Korea? Thatโs an easy one. Do you want to take it first?
Mac: No, you go.
Mike: Well, hereโs the money. We have 35,000 troops or something at the DMZ between South Korea and North Korea. Why are they there? Theyโre there as a tripwire, right? Obviously we donโt want North Korea to invade South Korea. The American public is loath to go to war for most any reason. Would we really go to war just to protect South Korea? Maybe, maybe not. You know what? We will go to war for Americans. Dead Americans we will go to war for.
First I think what you must address is: what is our national interest in North or South Korea? That part of the world is dominated influence-wise by China. North Korea clearly is a client of the nation of China. South Korea stands as a beacon of freedom and hope and a capitalist system. All of those are good things. But what are Americaโs vital interests in South Koreaโor Japan for that matter? Do we have vital interests in Japan half a world away? I understand weโre a global world now, global economy, all the interdependencies. But the point Iโm trying to get to is this:
Donald Trump received a lot of bad press recently for how he treated NATO. I donโt disagree with Donald Trumpโs position. If we have an agreement with any nation-state and we say we will do this if you do this, and that nation-state doesnโt hold up their part of the bargain, should we be suckers and continue to hold up our end of the bargain? In my opinion, no. Just like if you and I make an agreementโyou expect certain things from me and I expect certain things from you because youโre a man of your word, because I trust you, I know youโre going to follow through. I think what Donald Trump is sayingโand for that matter the Department of War is sayingโis: hold up your end of the bargain or maybe we wonโt hold up ours.
Mike: Yeah, I remember there was a NATO conference and Donald Trump said, โLook, pay your 2%, or who knows, we may not defend you when the time comes.โ And the hue and cry from the NATO European countries was, โYou wonโt defend us, you wonโt protect us.โ And Trump said, โLook, youโre paying your 2% or not. Pay your 2% and weโll hold up our end of the bargain. Donโt pay your 2%โare we under any obligation to do so?โ And now of course theyโve ratcheted it up to 5%. And I think thatโs fair.
There are so many times in the past when the United States of America has jumped in and very honestly saved our allies from very difficult times. Would Europe be speaking German today if it wasnโt for the United States of America? You know, Iโm not trying to be arrogant about the whole thing, but the truth of the matter is that when America entered World War II, not only did we change the tide of the war, not only did we arm all of our allies with the munitions and the weapons of war they needed to help win that war, but in large part, without the American soldiers, the Allies would have lost. I donโt know how you call it different. I donโt know how you parse that and say that wouldnโt have happened.
Yes, America has done some wonderful, great things in the past. And I think that if you are on the South Korean peninsula and need the protection of America to stop not only the North Koreans but also the nation of China from dominating you, then you ought to be a good neighbor to the United States. As long as we have those agreements in place, we should honor them. But it comes back to the thing I said first: Whatโs Americaโs national interest in the peninsula of South Korea?
When we entered, by the way, that was not an American war. You understand that was a United Nations operation. So I guess what Iโm saying is our reason for fighting the Korean War in the 1950s was to halt the progression of communism. Is that still our stated national interest? Weโre letting it go here in America.
My only point is that we need to evaluate what is in the best interest of the United States of America and most importantly its citizens, its people, because our Constitution is clear. The primary responsibility of the central government, the federal government, is to protect and defend its citizens, defend the homeland. Okay? So Iโm not real sure how defending South Korea is in our national interest, but I accept the decisions of our national leaders.
Mike: Yeah. Well, back to NATO, which is sort of kind of related to the same type of back-and-forth between Trump and these countries: the Secretary General of NATO praised Trump because all previous presidents, I guess, pointed out the same thingโโHey, youโre not ponying up what youโre supposed to.โ Yeah. But you know, Trump is suchโฆ all the negative things that people like to say about his personality. Heโs brash. Heโs embarrassing. But really, he embarrassed the hell out of them. Yes, he did. And no other president, with polite rhetoric, could have made the kind of points that he did. Agreed.
Now, when it comes to South Korea, again, Pete Hegseth and others have been asking Congress for more money. So I donโt know this to be the case, but sometimes budgets can be moved. Iโm not sure how much Foal Eagle and Team Spiritโthe exercises in Koreaโcost us. Iโm sure it goes into the billions of dollars. At least some of that money can be recouped to establish more money for munitions and things like that, too. And of course South Korea wants to sit there like all the European countries and cry about gas prices, because believe it or not, our gasoline prices were higher in the past than they are now, using 2026 dollars. Everybody forgets about that. So really, youโre not paying any more for gas than in the past. But they want to cry but they donโt want to participate, because we started this without consulting them. Like you could have talked to them and still had it be a surprise. People donโt understandโsurprise attacks are surprise attacks for a reason.
Anyway, so I donโt know if thatโs going to answer my TDS friend. Again, my friend, I go back to what I said. The nationโs national interestโour national interestโwould not be served by sharing that kind of information with any of our allies.
Now, Donald Trump did ask many of our NATO allies for assistance going into the Iranian conflict. Most of those nations declined. Theyโre even preventing us from using their bases. Not just declining to help, but actually hampering our ability to prosecute the war. Yet who benefits from Iran not successfully having a nuclear weapon? Europe first. Every single one of those countries that are whining and complainingโโYou didnโt tell us, you didnโt negotiate, you didnโt consult with us before you did that.โ Guess what? America is going to do what is in her best interest, what is in her national interest, regardless of what you say, do, or think. And do you know why? Because when the shit hits the fan, weโre the ones that have to pull your bacon out of the fire. And I donโt mean that in an arrogant way. I mean that as a matter-of-fact way.
So many nations that we are allied with have allowed bad things to happen that are not in their national interest. You look at the nation of Spain. You look at the nation of Portugal. You look at the nation of England. You look at whatโs going on in Germany with their unfetteredโฆ they donโt call it illegalโฆ inviting people who are not European, with different attitudes and different ideas and different ways of life. Already those nations, many of them, are on a road to destruction. The nation of France doesnโt look like France anymore. The nation of England doesnโt look like England anymore.
America is founded on Judeo-Christian principles. Ronald Reagan used the terminology โthe shining city on a hill.โ I remember seeing an interview one time with someone who had fled Cuba, the communist island, the communist government of Cuba that was so unfair and so harsh on its people. They interviewed this Cuban and he was talking about America and he said, โI was lucky. There was America that I could flee to.โ He said, โIf America doesnโt exist, where do we go?โ
And I think ultimately thatโs what we have to rely on. Whenever I was a wee lad, one of the things my dad taught meโbecause he expected his boys to be men, I mean manly menโone of the things my father taught me was: you need to take care of yourself first, because if youโre not okay, you canโt help anyone else. And I guess I would apply that simple lesson that a father taught his son to the United States of America. If the United States of America is not okay, if weโre not strong, if weโre not that shining city on the hill, then can we really be in a position to help anyone else? No. And the answer to that is clear.
Mike: Yeah. Yeah. I think that really answers your friend. Why does America do what it has to do? Typically, one of my favorite quotes from any world leader was Winston Churchill, and he says America will always do the right thing after theyโve tried everything else. And I think sometimes that really does quantify and describe the United States of America. Weโre not always right. We donโt always do the right thing, and sometimes we do dumb things and sometimes we do arrogant and imperfect things. But you know what? At the end of the dayโฆ
Danโwho was our Secretary of Defenseโฆ from Jamaica under President Bush? I can picture him in my head. Name from Jamaica.
Mac: Yeah. Well, he was Jamaican. He wasnโt born in Jamaicaโborn in New York, but his Jamaican parents. And I can see the man. He was Secretary of Defense when we fought the Gulf War. And you know what he said in the United Nations one time is: America has gone many, many places and fought wars for many different people, and the only thing weโve asked in return is enough geography, enough dirt to bury our dead. And thatโs whatโs different about America than any other nation who are what they call colonial powers. Other nations have gone places and claimed them for their own. And what America has done is gone places, won their wars, made their nations better, and then came back home. The only thing we asked in return was enough dirt to bury our heroesโthe men and women of the armed forces who paid the ultimate price.
Mike: Yeah, Iโll think of his name as soon as weโre done.
Mac: Yeah, probably. Iโll look it up and try and get it in the chyron or something.
Mike: But yeah, you think about, when I first started going to Europe, I noticed they all had 220 power. Why was the electric different than America? Itโs because we rebuilt it or helped them rebuild after the Second World War. And they had high-speed internet before we did.
Mac: Yep. You know, so we sacrificed a lot. Look at Japan. Look at the nation of Japan prior to World War II and then look at the nation of Japan today, starting after World War II when MacArthur instituted many cultural, governmental, political, economic changes in the nation of Japan when they were under military rule. And all of them made the nation of Japan in some ways the mini-me to the United States of Americaโand I donโt want to insult them that wayโbut it made them a very different nation. One of which was an economic and influential powerhouse in the world of nations. And that was not by accident. That was because of the changes that we instituted after World War II.
Mike: And itโs so funny you say that in relation to Trump, because if you look back at the old Rona Barrett interviews, he was always talking about Japan instead of China, because that was beforeโฆ yes, GATT had been around I guess, but we hadnโt started shipping all of our jobs over to China.
Mac: Yeah, we already shipped them over to Japan.
Mike: Yeah. You know, we used to call it scrap back in the old days. I used to call it crap, but same idea. After World War II, they started doing all kinds of manufacturing, parroting and copying the technologies that we had already created, and eventually they became very good at it. And guess what China does today? They steal our intellectual property and they copy our ideas. And itโs the same kind of thing.
But what does our economic system, what does our nation with its great freedoms protected by the Constitution, along with the economic freedom thatโs guaranteed by a capitalist economic systemโit creates incentive to come up with new ideas. Who was it that coined the phrase โBuild a better mousetrap and the world will beat a path to your doorโ? We are the place where the better mousetrap is invented. Thatโs because of our combination of political system, governmental system, freedomโall the freedoms guaranteed by the first 10 amendments to the Constitution, the Bill of Rightsโplus our economic system that says, hey, if you do something better, weโll pay you more money for it. If your future and my future align and we collaborate, we both are successful, we both get more money. And there are very few combinations like that, and thatโs what makes us a powerhouse.
You and I have had this conversation before: China will never be able to ultimately defeat America because their political systemโthat is, communismโdoesnโt allow for the freedom of thought that allows the ingenuity and the innovation that our system does. Thatโs why theyโre very good at making things better, but they steal the ideas from us first in a lot of cases. Thatโs for sure.
Mac: Well, have we beat this up enough? I think weโre over a half hour into it.
Mike: Yeah, I guess we have. Was it a good conversation? I thought so.
Mac: Weโll have to give your buddyโname not to be mentioned, whose name shall not be mentionedโweโll have to give your buddy a call and say, โHey, watch this.โ
Mike: Oh, he doesnโt want to talk. He wonโt come on with us. He doesnโt want to talk on the telephone. I donโt know.
Mac: But tell him we answered his questions. He just has to watch.
Mike: Yeah, thatโs what weโll do.
Mac and Mike: Out.
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